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Red14
10026.9
63416.8
68875.0
Blue16
87610.5
45168.0
41899.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18240103040501416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#32
6.91.3
2.91.6
Auto2.0
Teleop0.2
End4.7
blue by 2.3
4189
#13
9.20.6
10.610.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End3.3
Second
6341
#11
6.81.3
8.67.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
blue by 1.2
8.00.6
6.15.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End4.0
Third
6887
#31
5.01.3
6.35.0
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.8
red by 4.5
8761
#33
0.50.6
5.04.3
Auto1.3
Teleop-1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed