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Red11
41899.2
88668.5
85772.5
Blue61
83213.1
634018.4
67125.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21350103040506070801161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4189
#13
9.21.1
10.08.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End3.3
blue by 9.2
18.42.0
15.217.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End10.6
Second
8866
#22
8.51.1
7.66.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.9
blue by 4.6
832
#5
13.12.0
10.612.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End5.5
Third
8577
#20
2.51.1
3.72.6
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End-0.4
blue by 2.5
6712
#15
5.02.0
5.47.4
Auto2.2
Teleop0.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned