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Red22
41121.9
35814.3
634018.4
Blue17
33298.1
87610.5
71049.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3121010405060702217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.41.1
17.216.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End10.6
red by 9.3
7104
#21
9.10.5
9.28.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End4.4
Second
3581
#27
4.31.1
7.66.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.1
End-0.0
blue by 3.7
3329
#29
8.10.5
8.88.3
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End3.0
Third
4112
#28
1.91.1
3.42.3
Auto0.1
Teleop0.4
End1.4
red by 1.3
8761
#33
0.50.5
3.42.9
Auto1.3
Teleop-1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed