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Red20
85772.5
808310.0
60238.0
Blue41
63416.8
80807.5
682916.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24310102040506070802041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8083
#18
10.00.3
10.09.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End4.3
blue by 6.5
16.51.3
16.517.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End5.5
Second
6023
#19
8.00.4
11.711.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End4.6
red by 0.5
7.51.3
5.06.3
Auto0.5
Teleop0.9
End6.1
Third
8577
#20
2.50.3
1.81.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End-0.4
blue by 4.3
6341
#11
6.81.3
6.47.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsEarned