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Red41
10026.9
297418.1
808310.0
Blue64
177136.0
44596.2
53327.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30500204060804164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.11.0
16.217.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End4.1
blue by 17.9
36.01.7
36.137.8
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End4.5
Second
8083
#18
10.00.9
9.610.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End4.3
red by 2.8
5332
#26
7.21.9
3.25.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Third
1002
#32DQ
6.91.0
5.26.2
Auto2.0
Teleop0.2
End4.7
red by 0.7
4459
#25
6.21.7
5.37.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed