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Red38
44596.2
873620.8
63416.8
Blue18
88668.5
634018.4
68875.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25260204060801003818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.6
8.810.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End2.3
red by 2.4
18.40.7
10.79.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End10.6
Second
6341
#11
6.81.6
7.79.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
blue by 1.7
8866
#22
8.50.7
8.88.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.9
Third
4459
#25
6.21.6
7.08.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End1.7
red by 1.2
6887
#31
5.00.7
5.14.4
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed