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Red51
682925.7
590015.9
51096.2
Blue36
164816.2
174622.6
363513.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6059404550556570755136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.4
29.529.2
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End5.3
red by 3.1
1746
#13
22.61.6
24.422.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.0
Second
5900
#22
15.90.4
16.115.7
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End7.5
blue by 0.3
1648
#17
16.21.6
13.812.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.2
End7.1
Third
5109
#30
6.20.4
10.610.3
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End2.3
blue by 7.1
3635
#12
13.31.6
17.716.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsMissed