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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22630501001502001751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#15
9.00.8
16.816.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End2.0
blue by 14.9
8736
#16
23.90.4
32.832.3
Auto8.2
Teleop14.3
End1.4
Second
5293
#26
5.80.8
5.14.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End2.2
blue by 13.5
832
#19
19.40.4
18.217.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End9.0
Third
4112
#28
3.70.8
3.02.2
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.1
red by 1.6
1002
#31
2.10.4
2.21.8
Auto0.2
Teleop0.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsMissed