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Red62
682925.7
634020.0
168319.4
Blue104
445143.7
174622.6
126134.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions729805015020062104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.6
28.027.5
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End5.3
blue by 18.0
43.71.0
35.536.5
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End12.9
Second
6340
#18
20.00.6
22.622.0
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End10.0
blue by 14.5
34.51.0
30.731.7
Auto9.8
Teleop17.7
End7.0
Third
1683
#21
19.40.6
19.819.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End4.1
blue by 3.2
1746
#13
22.61.0
22.823.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsMissed93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned