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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68310501001506416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.4
33.033.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.9
End5.9
red by 17.5
16.11.5
16.214.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End3.3
Second
1746
#13
22.60.4
22.322.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.0
red by 13.8
3344
#25
8.81.5
12.611.2
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End3.3
Third
4112
#28
3.70.4
2.32.8
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.1
Level
8865
#14
3.71.5
5.33.8
Auto0.6
Teleop-0.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsMissed