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Red103
297433.6
126134.5
670516.3
Blue64
418829.2
110229.5
590015.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937820406012014016010364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.2
34.735.0
Auto9.8
Teleop17.7
End7.0
red by 5.0
29.50.3
29.729.5
Auto5.9
Teleop13.5
End10.2
Second
33.60.2
33.934.1
Auto6.9
Teleop20.9
End5.9
red by 4.5
29.20.3
29.429.2
Auto10.8
Teleop14.0
End4.3
Third
6705
#23
16.30.2
16.516.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End6.9
red by 0.4
5900
#22
15.90.3
16.115.9
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End7.5