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Red154
161953.3
667232.4
25467.3
Blue126
175645.1
84635.9
347648.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16713350100150200250154126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#4
67.30.0
67.367.3
Auto14.4
Teleop37.6
End15.3
red by 19.0
48.30.1
48.448.3
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End10.0
Second
53.30.0
53.353.3
Auto12.7
Teleop27.9
End12.7
red by 8.3
1756
#26
45.10.1
45.145.1
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End9.2
Third
6672
#50
32.40.0
32.332.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.5
End6.8
blue by 3.5
846
#62
35.90.1
36.035.9
Auto10.0
Teleop17.8
End8.0