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Red120
295929.8
248149.2
259043.7
Blue31
88988.1
570510.5
250623.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1442905010020012031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#15
49.20.0
51.051.0
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End12.6
red by 26.1
2506
#65
23.21.0
20.219.2
Auto6.4
Teleop8.1
End8.7
Second
2590
#11
43.70.0
42.442.3
Auto9.5
Teleop21.4
End12.8
red by 33.2
5705
#56DQ
10.51.2
8.77.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Third
2959
#19
29.80.0
27.327.2
Auto6.5
Teleop14.2
End9.2
red by 21.7
8898
#76
8.11.1
13.112.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed