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Red97
250623.2
31643.1
561215.7
Blue126
263829.2
69449.7
478633.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211705010015020097126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#31
43.10.8
41.642.4
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End12.3
blue by 6.6
694
#3
49.71.4
49.651.0
Auto14.8
Teleop25.9
End9.1
Second
2506
#65
23.20.8
21.622.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.1
End8.7
blue by 10.0
4786
#24
33.11.4
28.830.1
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End12.8
Third
5612
#46
15.70.8
18.419.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End5.3
blue by 13.5
2638
#57
29.21.4
27.028.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned