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Red106
81539.4
297444.5
102344.6
Blue117
216843.2
11850.9
316615.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9912750150200106117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#41
44.60.1
44.644.7
Auto8.3
Teleop33.5
End2.7
blue by 6.3
118
#7
50.90.5
55.755.3
Auto9.8
Teleop29.2
End11.8
Second
2974
#13
44.50.1
42.342.4
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End4.5
red by 1.3
2168
#12
43.20.5
43.943.5
Auto10.1
Teleop23.4
End9.6
Third
8153
#72
9.40.1
9.69.7
Auto4.8
Teleop0.8
End3.9
blue by 6.3
3166
#71DQ
15.70.5
16.215.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned