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Red70
432933.0
191424.8
85728.6
Blue82
173246.3
438134.2
186821.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991160501502002507082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#28
33.01.9
36.034.1
Auto8.6
Teleop19.9
End4.5
blue by 13.4
46.31.7
47.445.8
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End7.4
Second
857
#43
28.61.9
30.929.0
Auto7.6
Teleop9.6
End11.5
blue by 5.5
4381
#25
34.21.7
36.334.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End6.7
Third
1914
#75
24.81.9
28.326.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End4.5
red by 3.5
1868
#40
21.31.7
23.221.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned