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Red69
345921.0
49827.5
88988.1
Blue98
859017.9
69449.7
812218.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509801502006998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#66
27.50.8
24.725.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End7.9
blue by 22.2
694
#3
49.70.8
51.051.8
Auto14.8
Teleop25.9
End9.1
Second
3459
#48
21.00.8
19.520.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End8.6
red by 2.6
8122
#59
18.40.8
17.718.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End4.0
Third
8898
#76
8.10.8
8.79.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End0.1
blue by 9.8
8590
#35
17.90.8
17.318.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsMissed82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned