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Red86
81539.4
150642.3
667232.4
Blue98
214740.2
432933.0
40129.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881170501001502002508698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#33
42.30.3
42.642.3
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End7.5
red by 2.1
2147
#17
40.21.1
41.140.0
Auto8.4
Teleop24.9
End6.8
Second
6672
#50
32.40.3
33.833.6
Auto8.0
Teleop17.5
End6.8
blue by 0.6
4329
#28
33.01.1
34.133.0
Auto8.6
Teleop19.9
End4.5
Third
8153
#72
9.40.3
9.79.4
Auto4.8
Teleop0.8
End3.9
blue by 20.2
401
#45
29.61.1
31.230.2
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsEarned