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Red119
364137.8
161953.3
69449.7
Blue111
177156.7
173132.1
508631.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14512950100200119111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.31.3
51.650.3
Auto12.7
Teleop27.9
End12.7
blue by 3.4
56.71.9
58.957.0
Auto15.3
Teleop36.1
End5.3
Second
694
#3
49.71.3
49.147.8
Auto14.8
Teleop25.9
End9.1
red by 17.6
1731
#69
32.11.9
31.529.7
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End9.0
Third
3641
#20
37.81.3
33.632.3
Auto11.0
Teleop18.9
End7.9
red by 6.3
5086
#36
31.51.9
32.530.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.0
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned