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Red64
11850.9
84635.9
542219.2
Blue108
350418.2
258639.3
161953.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12612240608010014016018020064108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#7
50.93.6
55.351.7
Auto9.8
Teleop29.2
End11.8
blue by 2.5
53.30.4
56.055.6
Auto12.7
Teleop27.9
End12.7
Second
846
#62
35.93.6
39.736.1
Auto10.0
Teleop17.8
End8.0
blue by 3.4
39.30.4
40.039.6
Auto8.4
Teleop18.6
End12.4
Third
5422
#70
19.23.6
22.819.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End8.7
red by 1.0
3504
#55
18.20.4
18.618.2
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsMissed97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned