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Red131
884129.4
173246.3
260133.9
Blue81
508924.0
478633.1
413521.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1197805010015020013181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.31.4
45.847.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End7.4
red by 13.2
4786
#24
33.10.2
32.933.1
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End12.8
Second
2601
#16
33.91.4
32.533.9
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End11.4
red by 9.9
5089
#49
24.00.2
23.824.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End7.5
Third
8841
#42
29.41.4
28.029.4
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End8.1
red by 7.7
4135
#37
21.80.2
21.621.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned79%Hangar oddsEarned