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Red78
397030.3
181625.9
8627.0
Blue98
441543.8
255619.7
88988.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81890501001502007898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#54
30.30.0
33.833.8
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End6.0
blue by 13.6
4415
#14
43.80.8
46.947.7
Auto12.6
Teleop19.9
End11.4
Second
86
#38
27.00.0
22.122.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End10.3
red by 7.4
2556
#60
19.70.8
23.424.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.6
End8.0
Third
1816
#22
25.90.0
21.521.6
Auto8.2
Teleop9.3
End8.5
red by 17.8
8898
#76
8.10.8
12.012.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned