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Red130
69449.7
413521.8
297444.5
Blue104
364137.8
295929.8
438134.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116102406080140160180130104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
49.71.5
47.849.3
Auto14.8
Teleop25.9
End9.1
red by 11.9
3641
#20
37.80.5
32.332.8
Auto11.0
Teleop18.9
End7.9
Second
2974
#13
44.51.5
42.744.2
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End4.5
red by 10.3
4381
#25
34.20.5
37.638.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End6.7
Third
4135
#37
21.81.5
16.417.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.8
End4.2
blue by 8.1
2959
#19
29.80.5
27.227.7
Auto6.5
Teleop14.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned