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Red71
325627.5
341431.0
511442.3
Blue95
641319.2
347648.3
438134.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114111501001502007195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#44
42.32.4
47.344.9
Auto14.3
Teleop19.7
End8.3
blue by 6.0
48.30.7
52.051.3
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End10.0
Second
3414
#64
31.02.4
34.732.3
Auto7.9
Teleop17.7
End5.3
blue by 3.2
4381
#25
34.20.7
38.337.6
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End6.7
Third
3256
#47
27.52.4
25.022.6
Auto6.9
Teleop13.9
End6.6
red by 8.2
6413
#67
19.20.7
14.614.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsEarned