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Red78
511442.3
857318.5
84635.9
Blue103
49827.5
175645.1
364137.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010870809010012013078103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#44
42.31.9
47.045.1
Auto14.3
Teleop19.7
End8.3
blue by 2.8
1756
#26
45.10.0
44.544.4
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End9.2
Second
846
#62
35.91.9
35.233.3
Auto10.0
Teleop17.8
End8.0
blue by 1.9
3641
#20
37.80.0
32.832.8
Auto11.0
Teleop18.9
End7.9
Third
8573
#73
18.51.9
19.717.9
Auto8.1
Teleop5.8
End4.7
blue by 9.0
498
#66
27.50.0
26.126.1
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsMissed86%Hangar oddsEarned