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Red152
84635.9
508924.0
364137.8
Blue123
432933.0
393740.2
182824.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9689050150200250300152123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#20
37.83.7
32.836.4
Auto11.0
Teleop18.9
End7.9
blue by 2.4
40.22.3
37.039.3
Auto9.2
Teleop21.9
End9.1
Second
846
#62
35.93.7
33.337.0
Auto10.0
Teleop17.8
End8.0
red by 2.9
4329
#28
33.02.3
31.333.6
Auto8.6
Teleop19.9
End4.5
Third
5089
#49
24.03.7
22.926.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End7.5
Level
1828
#51
24.02.3
16.118.4
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsEarned