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Red122
325627.5
296037.0
173132.1
Blue83
884129.4
295929.8
255619.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918105010015012283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#23
37.02.0
33.035.1
Auto8.5
Teleop19.0
End9.4
red by 7.2
2959
#19
29.80.4
29.429.8
Auto6.5
Teleop14.2
End9.2
Second
1731
#69
32.12.0
29.431.4
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End9.0
red by 2.7
8841
#42
29.40.4
25.525.9
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End8.1
Third
3256
#47
27.52.0
21.423.4
Auto6.9
Teleop13.9
End6.6
red by 7.8
2556
#60
19.70.4
22.322.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.6
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsEarned61%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned