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Red136
580920.1
258639.3
69449.7
Blue108
150642.3
859017.9
191424.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10585050150200136108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
49.72.7
49.051.6
Auto14.8
Teleop25.9
End9.1
red by 7.4
1506
#33
42.31.5
37.038.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End7.5
Second
39.32.7
35.037.7
Auto8.4
Teleop18.6
End12.4
red by 14.5
1914
#75
24.81.5
30.031.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End4.5
Third
5809
#63
20.12.7
11.814.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End3.4
red by 2.2
8590
#35
17.91.5
15.316.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsEarned