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Red82
347648.3
345921.0
570510.5
Blue68
85728.6
162929.8
174516.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75870501001508268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.30.4
46.747.1
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End10.0
red by 18.5
1629
#34
29.80.8
32.731.8
Auto9.6
Teleop9.7
End10.5
Second
3459
#48
21.00.4
16.917.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End8.6
blue by 7.6
857
#43
28.60.8
29.929.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.6
End11.5
Third
5705
#56
10.50.4
8.69.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End2.5
blue by 6.1
1745
#74
16.60.8
17.816.9
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
74%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsMissed98%Hangar oddsEarned