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Red84
49827.5
316615.7
580920.1
Blue127
40129.6
216843.2
325627.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52114010015084127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#66
27.51.3
27.128.4
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End7.9
blue by 15.6
2168
#12
43.21.6
43.645.2
Auto10.1
Teleop23.4
End9.6
Second
5809
#63
20.11.3
14.615.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End3.4
blue by 9.6
401
#45
29.61.6
31.332.9
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Third
3166
#71
15.71.3
15.216.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End3.9
blue by 11.8
3256
#47
27.51.6
24.125.7
Auto6.9
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsEarned