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Red62
508631.5
341431.0
88988.1
Blue89
258639.3
508924.0
81539.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757650607080901001106289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#36
31.50.6
30.930.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.0
End9.6
blue by 7.8
39.30.5
38.739.2
Auto8.4
Teleop18.6
End12.4
Second
3414
#64
31.00.6
30.229.6
Auto7.9
Teleop17.7
End5.3
red by 7.0
5089
#49
24.00.5
22.623.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End7.5
Third
8898
#76
8.10.6
10.19.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End0.1
blue by 1.3
8153
#72
9.40.5
8.79.2
Auto4.8
Teleop0.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed88%Hangar oddsEarned