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Red118
258639.3
259043.7
102344.6
Blue124
175645.1
84635.9
347648.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138138100110120130150160170118124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#41
44.60.4
45.044.6
Auto8.3
Teleop33.5
End2.7
blue by 3.7
48.30.1
48.648.5
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End10.0
Second
2590
#11
43.70.4
44.143.7
Auto9.5
Teleop21.4
End12.8
blue by 1.3
1756
#26
45.10.1
45.445.2
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End9.2
Third
39.30.4
39.739.3
Auto8.4
Teleop18.6
End12.4
red by 3.4
846
#62
35.90.1
36.236.1
Auto10.0
Teleop17.8
End8.0