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Red101
168443.5
571240.5
55272.3
Blue107
546021.6
353832.0
664214.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95630204080120140101107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.3
43.043.3
Auto11.4
Teleop22.8
End9.3
red by 11.5
32.00.9
30.331.2
Auto9.7
Teleop15.0
End7.4
Second
40.50.3
40.040.3
Auto10.1
Teleop19.8
End10.6
red by 18.8
5460
#10
21.60.9
19.920.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Third
5527
#21
2.30.3
1.82.1
Auto2.6
Teleop-1.0
End0.8
blue by 12.1
6642
#22
14.40.9
12.713.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End2.9