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Red85
168443.5
571240.5
55272.3
Blue81
546021.6
353832.0
664214.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96680204060801201408581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.1
43.743.5
Auto11.4
Teleop22.8
End9.3
red by 11.5
32.00.3
31.732.0
Auto9.7
Teleop15.0
End7.4
Second
40.50.1
40.640.5
Auto10.1
Teleop19.8
End10.6
red by 18.8
5460
#10
21.60.3
21.321.6
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Third
5527
#21
2.30.1
2.42.3
Auto2.6
Teleop-1.0
End0.8
blue by 12.1
6642
#22
14.40.3
14.114.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End2.9