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Red50
833218.8
686119.8
550913.1
Blue67
675326.4
560319.8
504617.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537502040601001201405067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.1
20.220.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.3
End6.6
blue by 6.6
26.40.1
27.727.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End8.5
Second
18.80.1
19.219.1
Auto1.2
Teleop14.8
End2.9
blue by 1.0
19.80.1
21.121.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End7.8
Third
5509
#26
13.10.1
13.513.4
Auto4.8
Teleop4.2
End4.2
blue by 4.5
5046
#19
17.60.1
18.918.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End7.3