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Red84
546021.6
571240.5
887315.8
Blue78
504617.6
168443.5
508422.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710202040801201401608478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.6
33.634.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.8
End10.6
blue by 3.0
43.50.9
43.542.7
Auto11.4
Teleop22.8
End9.3
Second
5460
#10
21.60.6
17.217.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End2.4
blue by 0.9
5084
#16
22.60.9
26.625.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End9.2
Third
8873
#11
15.80.6
16.417.0
Auto6.4
Teleop5.6
End3.8
blue by 1.8
5046
#19
17.60.9
21.120.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
78%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned