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Red30
60679.8
55383.3
283214.4
Blue51
675326.4
52038.4
686119.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28680204060801001201403051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.1
11.611.5
Auto5.7
Teleop5.4
End3.3
blue by 12.0
26.40.5
31.030.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End8.5
Second
6067
#14
9.80.1
13.012.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End5.0
blue by 10.0
19.80.5
19.619.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.3
End6.6
Third
5538
#27
3.30.1
6.76.6
Auto1.4
Teleop0.1
End1.8
blue by 5.1
5203
#23
8.40.5
7.97.4
Auto4.6
Teleop1.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned