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Red79
560319.8
168443.5
52298.7
Blue42
686119.8
377020.2
522412.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions845202040601001207942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.0
42.742.7
Auto11.4
Teleop22.8
End9.3
red by 23.3
3770
#15
20.21.0
21.520.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End8.0
Second
19.80.0
20.520.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End7.8
Level
19.81.0
19.118.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.3
End6.6
Third
5229
#18
8.70.0
11.711.7
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End2.5
blue by 3.3
5224
#25
12.11.0
12.211.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsMissed