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Red56
550913.1
553416.0
508422.6
Blue83
283214.4
710914.4
546021.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6243020801001205683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5084
#16
22.61.0
24.023.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End9.2
red by 0.9
5460
#10
21.62.1
18.820.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
5534
#17
16.01.0
17.016.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.3
red by 1.5
14.42.1
12.014.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.4
End3.3
Third
5509
#26
13.11.0
14.513.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.2
End4.2
blue by 1.3
7109
#13
14.42.1
12.314.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned