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Red111
168443.5
571240.5
55272.3
Blue54
261918.2
521631.0
52038.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925720408010012014016011154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.6
42.242.8
Auto11.4
Teleop22.8
End9.3
red by 12.5
31.00.3
31.130.9
Auto5.9
Teleop16.8
End8.3
Second
40.50.6
39.239.8
Auto10.1
Teleop19.8
End10.6
red by 22.3
2619
#20
18.20.3
18.418.1
Auto6.3
Teleop3.9
End8.0
Third
5527
#21
2.30.6
1.01.6
Auto2.6
Teleop-1.0
End0.8
blue by 6.1
5203
#23
8.40.3
8.58.3
Auto4.6
Teleop1.1
End2.7