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Red76
546021.6
353832.0
664214.4
Blue51
675326.4
560319.8
504617.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68673040506080901001107651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.2
30.130.3
Auto9.7
Teleop15.0
End7.4
red by 5.6
26.40.3
26.726.4
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End8.5
Second
5460
#10
21.60.2
19.719.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 1.9
19.80.3
20.119.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End7.8
Third
6642
#22
14.40.2
12.512.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End2.9
blue by 3.2
5046
#19
17.60.3
17.917.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End7.3