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Qual 112022 Hawaii Regional
Red8
861511.0
285315.8
670412.6
Blue80
388012.8
244114.2
35945.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2768020406080100880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2853
#19
15.82.5
11.9→9.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
blue by 29.9
359
#1
45.81.4
41.5→43.0
Auto10.6
Teleop25.9
End9.3
Second
6704
#17
12.62.5
9.9→7.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.8
End3.1
blue by 1.6
2441
#12
14.22.4
8.8→11.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.4
End5.4
Third
8615
#8
11.02.5
8.7→6.2
Auto1.4
Teleop3.5
End6.1
blue by 1.7
3880
#11
12.81.4
8.4→9.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed65%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsMissed