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Red20
88538.4
38818.2
36822.1
Blue99
477438.6
244114.2
372128.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34670204060801001202099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#7
22.11.8
16.815.0
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End3.9
blue by 16.6
38.62.4
30.432.8
Auto14.1
Teleop21.4
End3.2
Second
8853
#13
8.41.8
10.68.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End2.0
blue by 20.5
28.84.0
17.321.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End9.4
Third
3881
#18
8.21.8
8.56.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End0.7
blue by 6.0
2441
#12
14.24.0
11.215.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned