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Red54
244330.5
20909.2
427021.9
Blue42
285315.8
690910.8
243822.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434902060801001205442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.51.4
18.019.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End13.3
red by 8.3
22.20.4
19.719.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End12.7
Second
21.90.9
17.718.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End10.4
red by 6.1
2853
#19
15.80.4
11.411.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
Third
2090
#21
9.21.4
5.46.8
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End4.7
blue by 1.7
6909
#16
10.80.4
14.213.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsMissed