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Qual 242022 Hawaii Regional
Red46
427021.9
772413.8
670412.6
Blue52
388012.8
372128.8
861511.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384502060801001201401604652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#9
21.90.6
18.5→19.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End10.4
blue by 6.9
3721
#3
28.80.7
22.4→23.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End9.4
Second
7724
#15
13.81.1
11.4→12.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.1
red by 1.0
3880
#11
12.80.4
9.6→10.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Third
6704
#17
12.61.1
6.5→7.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.8
End3.1
red by 1.5
8615
#8
11.00.7
9.7→10.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned