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Red79
246522.9
388227.5
670412.6
Blue45
78987.0
88538.4
285315.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602802040801007945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.51.8
23.625.4
Auto6.9
Teleop13.0
End7.7
red by 11.7
2853
#19
15.80.9
14.215.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
Second
2465
#10
22.92.4
18.821.2
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End4.5
red by 14.6
8853
#13
8.40.9
11.312.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Third
6704
#17
12.62.4
9.712.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.8
End3.1
red by 5.5
7898
#24
7.00.9
5.26.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed