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Red24
388012.8
887111.8
75485.0
Blue36
244330.5
861511.0
244114.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253201020405060702436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#11
12.80.0
8.48.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.9
blue by 17.7
30.50.3
12.312.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End13.3
Second
8871
#22
11.83.7
11.88.1
Auto5.5
Teleop2.4
End3.8
blue by 2.4
2441
#12
14.20.3
8.58.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.4
End5.4
Third
7548
#23
5.00.0
7.87.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.4
End0.7
blue by 6.0
11.02.5
11.08.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed