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Qual 462022 Hawaii Regional
Red26
38818.2
690910.8
388012.8
Blue72
36822.1
388227.5
289611.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30700204060801001201402672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#11
12.80.5
13.2→12.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.9
blue by 14.7
3882
#4
27.50.8
26.5→27.3
Auto6.9
Teleop13.0
End7.7
Second
6909
#16
10.80.5
11.1→10.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 11.2
368
#7
22.10.9
23.5→24.4
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Third
3881
#18
8.20.5
8.7→8.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End0.7
blue by 2.9
2896
#14
11.10.9
10.3→11.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsEarned