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Semifinal 1-12022 Hawaii Regional
Red82
36822.1
35945.8
88538.4
Blue68
427021.9
243822.2
772413.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815701001508268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
45.80.1
44.6→44.7
Auto10.6
Teleop25.9
End9.3
red by 23.6
2438
#6
22.20.2
21.8→22.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End12.7
Second
368
#7
22.10.1
20.9→21.0
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End3.9
red by 0.1
4270
#9
21.90.2
21.6→21.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End10.4
Third
8853
#13
8.40.1
7.2→7.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End2.0
blue by 5.4
7724
#15
13.80.2
13.4→13.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.1