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Red166
545437.6
167872.7
170651.5
Blue160
449950.0
14853.9
261444.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17515450100200250166160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.70.1
72.672.7
Auto16.8
Teleop43.0
End12.9
red by 18.9
148
#26
53.90.3
53.653.9
Auto14.9
Teleop29.9
End9.1
Second
51.50.1
51.451.5
Auto12.3
Teleop32.7
End6.5
red by 1.5
50.00.3
49.750.0
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End10.6
Third
5454
#63
37.60.1
37.537.6
Auto9.9
Teleop20.7
End7.1
blue by 6.3
2614
#12
44.00.3
43.744.0
Auto9.4
Teleop23.4
End11.2